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LEDGER
COUNTED
PAPERS
5
KEY FINDINGS
4
DATA SOURCES
3
CITATIONS
17
WITH PDF
5
01/Featured paper

Safe States, Silent Voters: A Six-Cycle Analysis of Partisan Predictability and Voter Turnout in U.S. Presidential Elections (2004–2024)

PAPER_01
WORKING PAPER
2026.05.01
Working papervoter turnoutU.S. presidential electionselectoral geographyrational-choice theoryOLS regression

Safe States, Silent Voters: A Six-Cycle Analysis of Partisan Predictability and Voter Turnout in U.S. Presidential Elections (2004–2024)

Revised May 2026 · An OLS analysis across six presidential cycles, an evaluation of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, and the case that ~89 million non-votes in 2024 reflect structural disenfranchisement, not apathy.

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RECORD
AUTHORS
Cody L. Hall
PUBLISHED
2026.05.01
KEY FINDINGS
4
DATA SOURCES
3
CITATIONS
17
PDF
Available
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